Japanese enterprise survey: Enterprises believe that Trump's next presidential term will have a negative impact on the business environment, and 60% of Japanese enterprises expect that the trading range of USD/JPY will be between 140 and 150 by 2025. Half of Japanese companies expect higher profits in the next fiscal year.Market information: Israeli air strikes targeted the Palestinian people carrying security aid trucks in Rafah, causing medical casualties.Four people were injured when a bus in Jerusalem was shot, and four people were injured when a bus was shot at a tunnel checkpoint in the south of Jerusalem, one of whom was seriously injured.
Dozens of people were killed in attacks in Gaza. According to several Palestinian media reports, on the 11th local time, Israeli troops continued to attack many places in Gaza, causing dozens of deaths. Among them, near Kamal Adouan Hospital in the northern part of Gaza, Israeli troops attacked again that day, killing at least 30 people, most of whom were women and children. In addition, on the same day, the Israeli army burned dozens of houses in the Gebali refugee camp in the northern Gaza Strip, and many places such as Deir Balah in the Gaza Strip, Nusailit refugee camp and Khan Younis in the southern Gaza Strip were also attacked by the Israeli army, causing casualties. (CCTV News)Morgan Stanley upgraded the rating of Jingao Technology to over-allocation, with a target price of RMB 27.36. Tongwei shares will be upgraded to overweight with a target price of RMB 39.53.CICC: The CPI of the United States rose as scheduled in November, but it did not hinder the interest rate cut. CICC released a research report saying that the CPI and core CPI of the United States both rose to 0.31% in November, which was basically in line with the market and its expectations. For the post-election policies, if the immigration and tariff policies are too radical, it will bring pressure to inflation at the end of next year, which will have an impact on the market and even the mid-term elections. Therefore, before the mid-term elections, due to the "realistic constraints" of inflation, the inflation policy will be faster, but the scope may be limited, while the growth policy will be faster, and then the overall assets will still be positive. According to the difference between the natural interest rate and the real interest rate, CICC estimates that after the interest rate cut in December, there may still be two or three interest rate cuts in 2025, with the end point of interest rate cut at 3.5-3.75% and the center corresponding to long-term US debt at 3.8-4%.
Front page of China Securities Journal: Give better play to the role of "stabilizer". The reform of the investment side of the capital market has been solidly promoted. The front page of China Securities Journal stated that efforts should be made to break through the blocking points of social security, insurance, wealth management and other funds entering the market, steadily promote the reform of industry rates in Public Offering of Fund, and vigorously develop equity funds, especially indexed investment ... Recently, the reform of the investment side has been accelerated, helping to improve the function of the capital market in which investment and financing are coordinated. Market participants expect that in the next stage, around the key directions such as guiding "long money" to enter the market, enriching the product system, and promoting the development of indexed investment, the reform of the investment side will continue to be solidly promoted, and more new measures are expected to be researched and introduced, which will introduce more incremental funds to the market and better play its role as a "stabilizer" of the market. The market expects that the acceleration of investment-side reform will significantly increase the scale and proportion of medium and long-term capital investment, promote the long-term investment behavior and enhance the inherent stability of the capital market.The personal pension system will be expanded soon, and the third pillar of old-age security will be built in an all-round way. Recently, it was reported that the personal pension system will be implemented nationwide on the basis of pilot projects in 36 places. "It should be implemented nationwide soon. In fact, we have been making systematic preparations, and we are now well prepared." The staff of a state-owned bank in a non-pilot city told reporters. Industry researchers also told reporters that when the individual pension system was piloted, relevant supporting policies were made at the end of that year. "If it is fully rolled out according to the previous rhythm, there should be a saying before the end of this year." (Securities Times)The Central Meteorological Observatory issued a blue gale warning at 18: 00 on December 11. It is estimated that there will be about 5 northerly winds and gusts of 6-8 in eastern Xinjiang, central and western Inner Mongolia, Hexi, Ningxia and northwestern Shaanxi from 20: 00 on December 11 to 20: 00 on December 12. There will be 7-8 northeast winds with gusts of 9 in the southern part of the East China Sea, the Taiwan Province Strait, the east of Taiwan Province, bashi channel and the northern and central parts of the South China Sea.
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide 12-13